The central myth of the 2008 election is that Barack Obama brought out hordes of idealistic, new young voters who will forever change the demographics of American politics. And yet a short piece at Breitpart.com explodes that myth in just three short sentences. Here’s the most important one:
For all the attention generated by last year’s presidential race, census figures show the share of eligible voters who actually went to the polls in November declined from 2004.
Barack Obama didn’t win because of the voters he attracted to the polls. He won because of the voters who stayed home. Specifically older, white voters who saw nothing they liked in either Barack Obama or John McCain.
This undercuts some of Obama’s political mandate, but even more importantly it proves that the conservatives have been right all along. The GOP didn’t lose because they were too far to the right. They lost because they were too far to the left. This is a simple fact that the MSM either can’t grasp or won’t admit, but I have little doubt that the Obama administration is well aware of it.
That’s why Obama is fighting so hard to push his radical restructuring through now. Because he knows that this is fundamentally a center-right nation, and that his victory was an anomaly. If we can hold him off now – on cap-and-trade and health care reform – and if we can run real conservatives in 2010 and 2012 then we have got a real chance to make some headway.
The danger, in my mind, is not from whether or not we defeat Obama. It is from how much social upheaval will occur when that happens and from the danger of complacency that will arise afterwards. Remember that it wasn’t the Democrats who got the stimulus ball rolling or who expanded the Department of Education’s mandate with No Child Left Behind or who ballooned the national deficit. It was the GOP.
I’m afraid they will become just conservative enough to win, but not conservative enough to put America back on track.