Regressing in the City of Brotherly Love

Assigned Reading: Philadelphia Tax Breaks Draw Ire
(FROM: The Wall Street Journal)

It was a little bit more than a year ago that my wife and I were driving downtown with my father and his wife; we were headed to the Philadelphia Museum of Art to see if my daughter preferred Monet or Manet, but dad wanted to drive around a bit. It had been at least ten years since he had set foot in downtown Philadelphia, and as I drove past empty storefronts on Chestnut Street, I could see him in my periphery slowly shaking his head.

“God,” he said, making that tsk-ing sound only a disappointed parent can muster. “I worked down here during some of the darkest days in this city. Here, we’ve recently had an economic boom, and this town looks even worse than I left it in the 1980s.”

The more I pay attention, the more it seems that the City of Brotherly Love does not seem to understand the basic relationship between taxes and growth. For years, the wage tax and city tax and business privilege tax have been driving away companies which later set up shop in suburban areas and bedroom communities such as Conshohocken, King of Prussia, Phoenixville and Oaks. Now, the city is considering doing away with perhaps the only positive tax policy. It doesn’t make sense.

Perhaps those in charge down at City Hall should read Stephen Moore and Art Laffer’s piece in today’s Wall Street Journal, entitled “Soak the Rich, Lose the Rich.” All they’d have to do is flip a few pages after reading the article about Philadelphia’s tax abatement. Moore and Laffer’s piece have to do with states, but the lessons are the same. Here’s an excerpt:

Here’s the problem for states that want to pry more money out of the wallets of rich people. It never works because people, investment capital and businesses are mobile: They can leave tax-unfriendly states and move to tax-friendly states.

And the evidence that we discovered in our new study for the American Legislative Exchange Council, “Rich States, Poor States,” published in March, shows that Americans are more sensitive to high taxes than ever before. The tax differential between low-tax and high-tax states is widening, meaning that a relocation from high-tax California or Ohio, to no-income tax Texas or Tennessee, is all the more financially profitable both in terms of lower tax bills and more job opportunities.

Updating some research from Richard Vedder of Ohio University, we found that from 1998 to 2007, more than 1,100 people every day including Sundays and holidays moved from the nine highest income-tax states such as California, New Jersey, New York and Ohio and relocated mostly to the nine tax-haven states with no income tax, including Florida, Nevada, New Hampshire and Texas. We also found that over these same years the no-income tax states created 89% more jobs and had 32% faster personal income growth than their high-tax counterparts.

Did the greater prosperity in low-tax states happen by chance? Is it coincidence that the two highest tax-rate states in the nation, California and New York, have the biggest fiscal holes to repair? No. Dozens of academic studies — old and new — have found clear and irrefutable statistical evidence that high state and local taxes repel jobs and businesses.

Martin Feldstein, Harvard economist and former president of the National Bureau of Economic Research, co-authored a famous study in 1998 called “Can State Taxes Redistribute Income?” This should be required reading for today’s state legislators. It concludes: “Since individuals can avoid unfavorable taxes by migrating to jurisdictions that offer more favorable tax conditions, a relatively unfavorable tax will cause gross wages to adjust. . . . A more progressive tax thus induces firms to hire fewer high skilled employees and to hire more low skilled employees.”

More recently, Barry W. Poulson of the University of Colorado last year examined many factors that explain why some states grew richer than others from 1964 to 2004 and found “a significant negative impact of higher marginal tax rates on state economic growth.” In other words, soaking the rich doesn’t work. To the contrary, middle-class workers end up taking the hit.

Finally, there is the issue of whether high-income people move away from states that have high income-tax rates. Examining IRS tax return data by state, E.J. McMahon, a fiscal expert at the Manhattan Institute, measured the impact of large income-tax rate increases on the rich ($200,000 income or more) in Connecticut, which raised its tax rate in 2003 to 5% from 4.5%; in New Jersey, which raised its rate in 2004 to 8.97% from 6.35%; and in New York, which raised its tax rate in 2003 to 7.7% from 6.85%. Over the period 2002-2005, in each of these states the “soak the rich” tax hike was followed by a significant reduction in the number of rich people paying taxes in these states relative to the national average. Amazingly, these three states ranked 46th, 49th and 50th among all states in the percentage increase in wealthy tax filers in the years after they tried to soak the rich.

This result was all the more remarkable given that these were years when the stock market boomed and Wall Street gains were in the trillions of dollars. Examining data from a 2008 Princeton study on the New Jersey tax hike on the wealthy, we found that there were 4,000 missing half-millionaires in New Jersey after that tax took effect. New Jersey now has one of the largest budget deficits in the nation.

We believe there are three unintended consequences from states raising tax rates on the rich. First, some rich residents sell their homes and leave the state; second, those who stay in the state report less taxable income on their tax returns; and third, some rich people choose not to locate in a high-tax state. Since many rich people also tend to be successful business owners, jobs leave with them or they never arrive in the first place. This is why high income-tax states have such a tough time creating net new jobs for low-income residents and college graduates.

Those who disapprove of tax competition complain that lower state taxes only create a zero-sum competition where states “race to the bottom” and cut services to the poor as taxes fall to zero. They say that tax cutting inevitably means lower quality schools and police protection as lower tax rates mean starvation of public services.

They’re wrong, and New Hampshire is our favorite illustration. The Live Free or Die State has no income or sales tax, yet it has high-quality schools and excellent public services. Students in New Hampshire public schools achieve the fourth-highest test scores in the nation — even though the state spends about $1,000 a year less per resident on state and local government than the average state and, incredibly, $5,000 less per person than New York. And on the other side of the ledger, California in 2007 had the highest-paid classroom teachers in the nation, and yet the Golden State had the second-lowest test scores.

Or consider the fiasco of New Jersey. In the early 1960s, the state had no state income tax and no state sales tax. It was a rapidly growing state attracting people from everywhere and running budget surpluses. Today its income and sales taxes are among the highest in the nation yet it suffers from perpetual deficits and its schools rank among the worst in the nation — much worse than those in New Hampshire. Most of the massive infusion of tax dollars over the past 40 years has simply enriched the public-employee unions in the Garden State. People are fleeing the state in droves.

Yes, the city of Philadelphia is running a one billion dollar deficit (by comparison, the entire state of California has a $15 billion deficit). But nobody seems to understand priorities, as we shutter libraries and drain pools yet still fund murals and provide city council members with paid vehicles. And certainly no one understands the simple answer to this: make Philadelphia an attractive destination for business again, just as Stephen Moore and Art Laffer describe officials like Gov. Rick Perry are doing for their states. The city is on display for so many large conventions (such facilities are something this place does right), but the cost of doing business just drives any sensible operation out of town.

It’s the same thing with the federal government. Instead of punishing companies for sending jobs and sheltering money overseas, why not reduce tax and regulatory burdens in order to make the United States of America the premier destination for such things? Philadelphia, with all of its history, nightlife, cuisine, culture and facilities, could be a destination city on the east coast of the United States of America. Instead, however, we’re just another Baltimore, overcome by liberal officials and rampant unions. I can’t wait to leave this town next year.

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Comments

  1. Rix says:

    There are two reasons why taxes are so high in New Jersey. One, the oppressive choke of the unions, is named correctly. The other, however, is rarely mentioned, and since I don’t give a rat’s behind for political correctness, I’ll name it here: AFFORDABLE HOUSING and URBAL SCHOOLS. I can’t say for other states but here in New Jersey, both are a tremendous tax drain. Neither of them should exist, period. They both are nothing but vote buying grease, period. And I’ll treat any state politician, left or right, with equal share of disdain, unless he or she suggest to throw both out.

  2. JUST SAYIN says:

    I hope Ronald Reagan is the twelfth Imam.

  3. HAVE MOLOTOV WILL TRAVEL says:

    I always thought anarchists were whack jobs. Now I am looking for a local chapter.

  4. Gail B says:

    The reason obama is raising taxes on the rich (and thus indirectly on the lower-income classes) is that it is not his goal for America to prosper and come out of the recession/depression.

    The liberal Democrats know EXACTLY what they’re doing–Obama and Geithner both have said that the national debt is unsustainable. So what are they pushing next to eat up our tax dollars? Universal healthcare! We have sent over a billion dollars to Mexico to fight the violence there (I think the excuse was); Pelosi’s RATS are being fed T-bone steaks (how else can they use up the stimulus money for the rats?); and it goes on and on ad nauseum.

    If the liberal Democrats wanted America to prosper, they would be nice, law-abiding, conservative REPUBLICANS! (So there, Arlen Specter!)

  5. Lilly says:

    Jeff- Well said and I just sent your link to my local state reps. Our city is the same way and getting worse every week. Thanks for sharing this!

  6. Bodenzee says:

    A bit off topic but none the less interesting. From TexasFred.net, there may still be time to go back to school and be educated in the ways of our future government.

    http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,520450,00.html

  7. Anonymous says:

    Jeff, unfortunately the great state of PA is a quagmire, along with all the small towns dying off, there is not much there anymore. This is almost all due to high taxes and partially due to high unionization. I hate seeing my home state in such a state of affair, but ohio is getting to be the same way. It is the whole rust belt, PA, OH, MI, all dying off.
    Now i need more beer, and at least I have a good hockey game to watch
    LETS GO PENS

  8. BlueWater says:

    So simple. What can you say? Is there really an explanation for this oppression that doesn’t involve the seven deadly sins?

  9. Celia in TX, formerly of PA says:

    “I’m not from Texas, but I got here as fast as I could.”~~popular bumper sticker down here

  10. La Muse Poetique says:

    Whooo!!! You made a shout out to my neighborhood. Phoenixville/Oaks/KOP area. ^_^

    I do want to point out that it isn’t just the tax, but it is also the space issue. A LOT more space for bigger stores out here.

  11. COCKROACHES WORK FREE says:

    Evacuate Philly.

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